Stock Futures Rise Ahead of Nvidia Earnings and PCE Data

Stock Futures Rise Ahead of Nvidia Earnings and PCE Data

Cover image from cnbc.com, which was analyzed for this article

US stock futures climbed as tech shares rebounded before Nvidia's earnings report and key inflation data. Investors are focused on AI sentiment and corporate results amid broader market volatility.

PoliticalOS

Tuesday, August 25, 2026 — Business

3 min read

Markets are pricing Nvidia's results and the PCE inflation print as the immediate tests for whether the AI rally can extend despite elevated yields and fresh sanctions. Futures gains reflect positioning rather than resolution of those questions.

What outlets missed

Most coverage omitted the precise scale of the software-versus-chip performance gap, with equal-weighted software ETFs up roughly 24 percent since late June while equal-weighted semiconductor ETFs fell a similar amount. Few outlets detailed the six straight days of inflows into the largest bitcoin ETF or the exact size of the Treasury General Account cited as a potential source of bond purchases. The muted market reaction to Iran sanctions was noted but rarely connected to analyst views that the measures were framed as negotiation leverage rather than escalation. Dick's Sporting Goods' specific guidance cuts, including the revised earnings-per-share range of $10.94 to $11.94, received limited follow-through beyond the initial share-price reaction.

Reading:·····

Stock Futures Advance Ahead of Tech Earnings and Policy Moves

U.S. equity futures climbed Tuesday as bond yields eased and investors positioned for Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, though broader economic pressures from trade tensions and inflation lingered for working households. The moves came amid a Treasury Department plan to potentially tap its general account for bond repurchases, a step that helped pull the 10-year yield down more than three basis points to 4.666 percent after similar declines the prior session.

Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 199 points, or 0.4 percent, while S&P 500 contracts gained 0.4 percent and Nasdaq-100 futures advanced 0.8 percent. Chip-related shares led the gains, with Advanced Micro Devices and Micron Technology each up more than 2 percent and Intel climbing over 3 percent. Broadcom and Nvidia itself edged higher by more than 1 percent, lifting the iShares Semiconductor ETF more than 2 percent. Traders appeared focused on Nvidia's results due after the bell Wednesday, alongside the personal consumption expenditure price index reading that same day.

The Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole symposium later this week added another layer of scrutiny, with new Chair Kevin Warsh slated to speak Friday. His remarks follow Treasury announcements aimed at managing long-term yields, a policy area that has drawn attention for its potential effects on everyday borrowing costs. Inflation data and recent employment figures, including ADP's weekly change and manufacturing activity set for release Tuesday, will help frame expectations ahead of those comments.

Trade developments added volatility. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent outlined new sanctions targeting Iran, warning that countries continuing commerce with Tehran could face exclusion from dollar-based systems. Markets showed limited reaction, though the measures coincide with planned U.S. tariffs on Canadian vehicles that Ottawa is expected to counter Tuesday. Such steps risk raising costs for consumers and manufacturers already navigating elevated prices, a dynamic that often hits lower- and middle-income families hardest.

Bitcoin crossed above $80,000 for the first time in months, fueled in part by concerns over dollar debasement tied to the bond-market interventions. Gold prices, which had rallied recently, paused their advance. The iShares Bitcoin ETF recorded consecutive days of inflows, reflecting investor shifts toward alternative assets amid policy uncertainty.

Corporate earnings from Intuit, Zoom Communications and Dick's Sporting Goods offered mixed signals on consumer health. Dick's shares fell sharply after the retailer missed estimates and lowered its full-year outlook, citing challenging conditions. Such reports underscore how gains concentrated in technology sectors may not translate evenly across the economy, leaving many workers exposed to persistent price pressures even as select asset classes recover.

Analysts noted that strong AI-driven productivity could support longer-term market trends, yet near-term caution remains warranted if earnings momentum falters. The week's data releases and central bank signals will likely test whether recent yield declines and futures gains can hold against ongoing trade frictions and inflation concerns that affect broad segments of the population.

You just read Progressive's take. Want to read what actually happened?

The Compass

You just read five takes on one story.

What's your take? Find your political shape in a few minutes.

Take the test