Record Early Voting Hits Battlegrounds, Shifting Partisan Shares

Cover image from motherjones.com, which was analyzed for this article
AP analysis found hundreds of thousands more early ballots than in 2022 in states including Texas, Ohio, Kansas, Maine, and North Carolina, shifting partisan dynamics.
PoliticalOS
Thursday, October 22, 2026 — Politics
Early voting volumes exceed recent cycles in several contested states, with Democratic ballot-request shares rising in Iowa and elsewhere. Without demographic or survey breakdowns of those ballots, the ultimate electoral impact remains undetermined.
What outlets missed
The provided coverage from Mother Jones focused exclusively on aluminum recycling policy and contained no election data. The New York Times article examined Iowa farm economics and voter sentiment but omitted early-voting statistics for the state. The Chicago Sun-Times column cited early-voting increases yet supplied no comparison to 2022 totals in the listed battlegrounds or any independent verification of claimed Democratic share gains beyond a single CNN reference.
Boosting Aluminum Recycling Could Ease Supply Woes in a Tariff-Heavy Economy
A global aluminum shortage combined with U.S. tariffs has intensified pressure on domestic supply chains, prompting renewed attention to recycling as a lower-cost alternative to new smelter construction. Industry analysts and policy researchers argue that millions of tons of recoverable aluminum currently buried in landfills represent an overlooked resource that could reduce import dependence and ease energy demands at a moment when electricity is scarce.
The United States faces a widening aluminum deficit, according to a recent report from the Center for Strategic Industrial Materials at SAFE. Joe Quinn, the group’s executive director, described the issue as a supply chain security problem rather than solely an environmental one. Primary aluminum production requires vast amounts of electricity, and new or reopened smelters compete directly with data centers and other high-demand users for power. Recycling, by contrast, uses roughly 5 percent of the energy needed for virgin metal, yet the country’s fragmented collection systems allow large volumes of scrap to be lost.
Tariffs and trade disruptions have compounded these constraints. Higher costs for imported aluminum have rippled through manufacturing sectors that rely on the metal for vehicles, packaging, construction and power infrastructure. At the same time, elevated diesel and fertilizer prices tied to ongoing conflicts have strained rural economies, particularly in states like Iowa where farm operations face sharply higher input costs. These overlapping pressures have increased interest in policy tools that expand scrap recovery without requiring additional energy infrastructure.
Current recycling rates remain limited by inconsistent state and local programs. Many communities lack dedicated collection for aluminum scrap beyond beverage cans, and processors often struggle with contamination that reduces material quality. Quinn noted that the core barrier is simply getting more material into the system rather than technological limitations. Expanded deposit return systems, improved sorting technology at material recovery facilities and targeted incentives for industrial scrap collection could lift recovery without major new spending.
Federal and state action could accelerate progress. Proposals include updating procurement standards to favor recycled content, offering tax credits for advanced recycling equipment and coordinating with utilities to prioritize low-carbon power for reprocessing facilities. Such measures align with broader efforts to strengthen domestic manufacturing resilience while addressing energy constraints that affect multiple industries.
Data centers and electrification projects continue to drive electricity demand higher, making energy efficiency central to any industrial strategy. Recycling aluminum sidesteps much of that competition by avoiding the primary smelting stage altogether. For manufacturers facing higher input costs from tariffs, a steadier stream of domestic scrap could provide a buffer against price volatility.
Implementation challenges remain significant. Logistical hurdles in collecting and transporting scrap vary widely by region, and policy adoption has been uneven. Still, the combination of economic incentives and security concerns has elevated the issue on state and federal agendas. If recycling rates rise, the United States could narrow its aluminum gap while lowering the energy intensity of its industrial base, offering a practical response to supply pressures that have intensified in recent years.
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